Monday, July 27, 2009

Trading Price Action In Currency Markets

By Ahmad Hassam

If you want to become a successful trader, you should immerse yourself completely in the subject in order to find your edge. In case, you are already a winning trader than you should know exactly what your edge is.

Even the advanced traders find it difficult to interpret and trade the sharp moves often seen in the forex markets. Learning to read and interpret price action can be a huge advantage for you.

In a steep decline, one should be careful to measure the reaction of the longs. You must know if the move has the chance to turn into a rout.

Look at the reaction of the longs as soon as the rate begins to go south, this way you may be able to determine if the market is sitting on a large number of long positions. In case, the spike is followed by a sharp V recovery, you should avoid shorting the pair.

Many buyers entering the market at lower levels tell you that the market is not heavily long. These lower prices mean bargain prices for those wishing to accumulate long positions.

Moving averages (MAs) are among the oldest, true and tested lagging indicators. MAs can be simple as well as exponential. Widely used moving averages are the 50, 100 and 200 day MAs. Many traders use MAs in making trading decisions.

Moving averages are essentially lagging indicators and relate to the past price action. MAs can be used effectively in intra day trading for entering and exiting positions in one way markets.

During sharp moves, it becomes difficult for the trader to properly enter a position since retracements are far and few.

Moving averages can be used as dynamic resistance levels in such situations. This should give far better results than the static support and resistance levels used by majority of the traders.

The advantages of using Moving Averages like this gives you dynamic levels to trade off and gauge price action taking place in the market. This will help you avoid using arbitrary levels in entering or exiting a position.

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